Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · EUC4005800213052
Soin de Nuit Anti-Taches - Eucerin - Anti-Pigment - 50ml - Sans parfum - Résultats en 2 semaines
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 83.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
326
Σ Stock across 31 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 306
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
EUC4005800213052
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Soin de Nuit Anti-Taches - Eucerin - Anti-Pigment - 50ml - Sans parfum - Résultats en 2 semaines · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -83.3% · on-hand 326 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (882 days of history, 45 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.45 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 53.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.4K |