Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · EUC4005800210617
Sérum Anti-Pigment - Eucerin - Duo Anti-Taches - 30ml - Thiamidol - Sans parfum
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
738
Σ Stock across 8 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 434
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
EUC4005800210617
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 56 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sérum Anti-Pigment - Eucerin - Duo Anti-Taches - 30ml - Thiamidol - Sans parfum · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 840 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1120 days of history, 41 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.54 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 30.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 55.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 24.2K |