Demand Forecast

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Eucerin Sun Protection Oil Control Sun Gel-Crème SPF 50+ 50 ml
SKU · EUC4005800119361

Eucerin Sun Protection Oil Control Sun Gel-Crème SPF 50+ 50 ml

hero 3P SOLAIRES
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

33
▼ 45.9% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-86.9%
vs same 4w last year (252 units)

Current stock

1,951
≈ 99.7 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 146
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

EUC4005800119361

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 334 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Eucerin Sun Protection Oil Control Sun Gel-Crème SPF 50+ 50 ml · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 33 units, trending down -45.9% · on-hand 1951 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: hero (1085 days of history, 983 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.48 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 33 units · prev 4w = 61 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week8.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks41.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months125.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week19.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)121.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)333.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)9.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 48.8K