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ESSENCE LASH PRINCESS LASH EFFECT MASCARA WATWRPROOF
SKU · ESS4059729207241

ESSENCE LASH PRINCESS LASH EFFECT MASCARA WATWRPROOF

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

10
▲ 25.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+25.0%
vs same 4w last year (8 units)

Current stock

3
≈ 1.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 32
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

ESS4059729207241

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 113 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

ESSENCE LASH PRINCESS LASH EFFECT MASCARA WATWRPROOF · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +25.0% · on-hand 3 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1008 days of history, 84 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.01 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 8 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)29.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)113.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.7K