Demand Forecast

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Crayon à Lèvres - Essence Tattoo Line n' Stain - 01 Everyone's Nude-Pink - Longue Tenue - Ultra-Pigmenté
SKU · ESS1744889430362

Crayon à Lèvres - Essence Tattoo Line n' Stain - 01 Everyone's Nude-Pink - Longue Tenue - Ultra-Pigmenté

midtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

7
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

2
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 24
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-21

ESS1744889430362

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 151 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Crayon à Lèvres - Essence Tattoo Line n' Stain - 01 Everyone's Nude-Pink - Longue Tenue - Ultra-Pigmenté · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 6 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (364 days of history, 238 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 14 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.3 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks6.7 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months58.8 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		15.2 units
Optimistic — next week8.3 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)38.8 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)150.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.5K