Demand Forecast

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Baume Lèvres et Joues - Essence - Juicy Berry - Teinte fruitée - 3g - Application facile
SKU · ESS1741039795545

Baume Lèvres et Joues - Essence - Juicy Berry - Teinte fruitée - 3g - Application facile

midtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

6
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

1
≈ 0.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 32
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29

ESS1741039795545

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 110 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Baume Lèvres et Joues - Essence - Juicy Berry - Teinte fruitée - 3g - Application facile · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 1 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (259 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 10 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks11.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months30.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)35.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)110.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.5K