Demand Forecast

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Essence - Huile Lèvres Hydra Kiss - 08 Mocha Glow
SKU · ESS1740773773922

Essence - Huile Lèvres Hydra Kiss - 08 Mocha Glow

midtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 31
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-16

ESS1740773773922

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 283 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Essence - Huile Lèvres Hydra Kiss - 08 Mocha Glow · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (294 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week7.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks31.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months88.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week18.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)107.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)282.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)—
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.8K