Demand Forecast

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ESSENCE - Soin des lèvres - Hydra Kiss - 03 Pink Champagne - 4ml - Vegan
SKU · ESS1706088415411

ESSENCE - Soin des lèvres - Hydra Kiss - 03 Pink Champagne - 4ml - Vegan

midtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▲ 300.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 30
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-30

ESS1706088415411

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 107 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

ESSENCE - Soin des lèvres - Hydra Kiss - 03 Pink Champagne - 4ml - Vegan · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +300.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (301 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks10.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months29.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)32.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)107.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.2K