Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · EMI8009271907201
Table Adige Camping PVC (45 x H52 cm) Blanc
longtail
1P + 3P
MEUBLES D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▲ 25.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 89
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
EMI8009271907201
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 85 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Table Adige Camping PVC (45 x H52 cm) Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending up +25.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1120 days of history, 54 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 15.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 41.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 11.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 84.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.5K |