Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · EMI8009271907201
Table Adige Camping PVC (45 x H52 cm) Blanc
longtail
1P
MEUBLES D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 38.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
43
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
37
≈ 28.1 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 173
avg of last 24 sells · latest 2026-04-27
EMI8009271907201
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 71 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Table Adige Camping PVC (45 x H52 cm) Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -38.5% · on-hand 37 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1078 days of history, 21 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.62 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 70.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.2K |