Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · DOV8718114216324
Dédorant Spray - Dove Men + Care - Clean Comfort - 250ML - Anti-transpirant 48h - Sans alcool
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
16
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 28
avg of last 25 sells · latest 2026-04-29
DOV8718114216324
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 46 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Dédorant Spray - Dove Men + Care - Clean Comfort - 250ML - Anti-transpirant 48h - Sans alcool · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 16 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (658 days of history, 19 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.42 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 45.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.3K |