Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · DOV0000080466468
DOVE Déodorant Bille Crème Original - 50 ml
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 9.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-70.6%
vs same 4w last year (34 units)
Current stock
372
≈ 118.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 28
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
DOV0000080466468
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
DOVE Déodorant Bille Crème Original - 50 ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -9.1% · on-hand 372 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1176 days of history, 175 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 39.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 147.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.2K |