Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · CLA4006160638875
Climatiseur mobile 9000 BTU Clatronic CL 3716 Blanc
longtail
3P
GENIE THERMIQUE - CLIMATIQUE - CHAUFFAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 133.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
14
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-07-07
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-07-07 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 3.3K
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-07-05
CLA4006160638875
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-29 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Climatiseur mobile 9000 BTU Clatronic CL 3716 Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +133.3% · on-hand 14 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (819 days of history, 11 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 50.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 166.3K |