Demand Forecast

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-Cerave Huile Lavante Moussante Hydratante 473 ml Pour Les Peaux Normales à Trèsèches Les Peaux à Tendance Atopique
SKU · CER3337875773447

-Cerave Huile Lavante Moussante Hydratante 473 ml Pour Les Peaux Normales à Trèsèches Les Peaux à Tendance Atopique

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

6
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

+50.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)

Current stock

4,118
≈ 2214.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 143
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29

CER3337875773447

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

-Cerave Huile Lavante Moussante Hydratante 473 ml Pour Les Peaux Normales à Trèsèches Les Peaux à Tendance Atopique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 4118 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1141 days of history, 62 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months22.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)19.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)62.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)—
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.9K