Demand Forecast

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Lait Hydratant - Cerave - 473ml - Hypoallergénique - Peaux Sensibles - Texture Lait
SKU · CER3337875597395

Lait Hydratant - Cerave - 473ml - Hypoallergénique - Peaux Sensibles - Texture Lait

midtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

10
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-60.0%
vs same 4w last year (25 units)

Current stock

20
≈ 4.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 145
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-30

CER3337875597395

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 104 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Lait Hydratant - Cerave - 473ml - Hypoallergénique - Peaux Sensibles - Texture Lait · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 20 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (1183 days of history, 212 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 4 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.8 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks11.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months32.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)30.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)103.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.5
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 15.0K