Demand Forecast

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Cerave Crème Contour des Yeux 14ml
SKU · CER3337875597272

Cerave Crème Contour des Yeux 14ml

midtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

-84.6%
vs same 4w last year (13 units)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 93
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-01

CER3337875597272

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 119 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Cerave Crème Contour des Yeux 14ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (1120 days of history, 101 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks12.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months34.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)42.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)119.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 11.1K