Demand Forecast

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Lot de 2 Spirales inox
SKU · CAS3222471659045

Lot de 2 Spirales inox

longtail 1P MATERIEL D'ENTRETIEN
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

2
≈ 7.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 4
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-19

CAS3222471659045

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Lot de 2 Spirales inox · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 2 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (819 days of history, 25 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.07 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months15.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)20.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)61.7 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 216