Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · CAS0305210231597
Baume à lèvres - ROSY LIPS - 7g
midtail
1P + 3P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
207
Σ Stock across 6 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
31
≈ 9.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 28
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-04
CAS0305210231597
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Baume à lèvres - ROSY LIPS - 7g · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 31 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1071 days of history, 58 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.93 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 57.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 147.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.2K |