Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · CAN4960999974460
Cartouche d'encre - CANON - PG-445 EMB - Noir - Compatible avec plusieurs modèles - 180 pages
midtail
3P
IMPRESSION - SCANNER
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 45.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-15.4%
vs same 4w last year (13 units)
Current stock
79
≈ 22.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 184
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
CAN4960999974460
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 128 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cartouche d'encre - CANON - PG-445 EMB - Noir - Compatible avec plusieurs modèles - 180 pages · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -45.0% · on-hand 79 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1134 days of history, 225 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.62 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 20 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 14.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 41.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 43.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 128.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 23.6K |