Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · C453981008300644921
C453981008300644921
new
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
9
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
235
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
162
≈ 67.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 97
avg of last 12 sells · latest 2026-10-10
C453981008300644921
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 189 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
C453981008300644921 · in the new cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 164 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: new (28 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 188.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.4K |