Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · C42F454004140317973
Aspirateur 15 En 1 À Main 4500W À Fil, Technologie Sans Sac Cyclonique
midtail
3P
ENTRETIEN DES SOLS - ENTRETIEN DE LA MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
22
▼ 15.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
7
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 286
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
C42F454004140317973
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 143 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Aspirateur 15 En 1 À Main 4500W À Fil, Technologie Sans Sac Cyclonique · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 22 units, trending down -15.4% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (105 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 22 units · prev 4w = 26 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 24.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 74.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 41.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 142.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 40.8K |