Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · C42419648203310313180
Dove Gel douche crème à l'huile d'amande et l'hibiscus,720ml
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 46
avg of last 24 sells · latest 2026-08-02
C42419648203310313180
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 68 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Dove Gel douche crème à l'huile d'amande et l'hibiscus,720ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (112 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 32.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 67.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.1K |