Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · C41E245802250302296
Collagène Marin Pur 120 gélules : 1200 mg de collagène type I & III à haute absorption Origine Angleterre
longtail
3P
MEDICAMENTS
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 288
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-10-08
C41E245802250302296
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 43 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Collagène Marin Pur 120 gélules : 1200 mg de collagène type I & III à haute absorption Origine Angleterre · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +66.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (203 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.47 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 1.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 43.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.4K |