Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · C40FB05007030928265
C40FB05007030928265
new
1P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
23
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-11-03
1P stock
23
≈ 30.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-11-03
Unit price
MAD 15
avg of last 3 sells · latest 2026-10-25
C40FB05007030928265
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-11-02 · Total forecast: 150 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
C40FB05007030928265 · in the new cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 23 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: new (21 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.47 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 6.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 48.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 149.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.3K |