Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · C40FB00407020158527
C40FB00407020158527
new
3P
AIDE A LA MOBILITE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
20
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-27
1P stock
20
≈ 7.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-27
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-10-23
C40FB00407020158527
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-19 · Total forecast: 157 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
C40FB00407020158527 · in the new cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: new (28 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 11.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 43.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 156.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.6K |