Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · C38CC0011140902954
Pochette pour Samsung S20 en silicone liquide : Noir
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-27
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-27 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 2 sells · latest 2026-10-17
C38CC0011140902954
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-19 · Total forecast: 32 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Why this forecast?
Pochette pour Samsung S20 en silicone liquide : Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (224 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.47 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 0.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 10.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 32.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 746 |