Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · C380548004081012258
150000 – Crème Retardante à la Lidocaïne pour un Meilleur Contrôle
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▼ 11.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
107
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 66
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
C380548004081012258
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
150000 – Crème Retardante à la Lidocaïne pour un Meilleur Contrôle · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -11.1% · on-hand 107 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (70 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |