Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · C378706004010517239
SUNDANCE Crème Solaire Enfants SPF 50 – 100 ml – Protection UVA/UVB – Hydratation 24h – Sans Parfum
midtail
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 44.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 57
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
C378706004010517239
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
SUNDANCE Crème Solaire Enfants SPF 50 – 100 ml – Protection UVA/UVB – Hydratation 24h – Sans Parfum · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +44.4% · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (105 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 72.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 143.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.2K |