Demand Forecast

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Mousse Définition Boucles 300 ml
SKU · BYP8436097092185

Mousse Définition Boucles 300 ml

longtail 3P CAPILLAIRE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▲ 66.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+66.7%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)

Current stock

8
≈ 7.7 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 65
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

BYP8436097092185

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Mousse Définition Boucles 300 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +66.7% · on-hand 8 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (952 days of history, 67 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.58 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months13.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)15.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)54.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.5K