Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · BYP1701429632228
Démaquillant - Byphasse - Bleuet - 200 ml - Hypoallergénique - Tous types de peau
longtail
1P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
51
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
7
≈ 9.5 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
BYP1701429632228
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 55 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Démaquillant - Byphasse - Bleuet - 200 ml - Hypoallergénique - Tous types de peau · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (826 days of history, 41 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.43 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 54.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.5K |