Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · BIC8003723501900
Chaise relax - BICA - Maryland - Vert - 73x80x88 cm - Confortable et relaxant
longtail
1P
MEUBLES D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 199
avg of last 8 sells · latest 2026-09-12
BIC8003723501900
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaise relax - BICA - Maryland - Vert - 73x80x88 cm - Confortable et relaxant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (133 days of history, 12 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 3.8 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 50.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.0K |