Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · BEU4211125454302
Beurer Oxymètre de pouls P030 Argenté
longtail
3P
CARDIOLOGIE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-60.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
108
≈ 139.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 286
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
BEU4211125454302
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Beurer Oxymètre de pouls P030 Argenté · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 108 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (952 days of history, 68 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 14.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 12.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 49.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.2K |