Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · BES6941607343876
Matelas gonflable camping - BESTWAY - 1 place - 185 x 76 x 22 cm
longtail
3P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 95
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
BES6941607343876
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 134 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Matelas gonflable camping - BESTWAY - 1 place - 185 x 76 x 22 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (812 days of history, 87 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 60.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 134.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.7K |