Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · BES6941607329597
Lit gonflable - BESTWAY - Tritech 2P - 2 places - 203x152x46 cm avec pompe électrique intégrée
longtail
1P
CAMPING - CAMP DE BASE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
1
≈ 1.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL
Unit price
MAD 342
avg of last 5 sells · latest 2026-04-14
BES6941607329597
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lit gonflable - BESTWAY - Tritech 2P - 2 places - 203x152x46 cm avec pompe électrique intégrée · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (658 days of history, 13 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.25 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |