Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · BES6941607329122
Bouée Gonflable Enfant Bestway Minnie Mouse 48 cm - Rose - PVC Haute Qualité
longtail
1P
JEUX D'EAU - JEUX DE PLAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 500.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
15
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
15
≈ 93.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 7 sells · latest 2026-07-30
BES6941607329122
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bouée Gonflable Enfant Bestway Minnie Mouse 48 cm - Rose - PVC Haute Qualité · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +500.0% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (427 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.55 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |