Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC9347237923636
parapluie pour voiture pare-brise,pare-soleil pliable,foldable car windshield sunshade,windscreen sun shield uv (gros)
hero
3P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
848
Σ Stock across 6 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 38
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AUC9347237923636
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 139 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
parapluie pour voiture pare-brise,pare-soleil pliable,foldable car windshield sunshade,windscreen sun shield uv (gros) · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 851 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (945 days of history, 219 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.43 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 30 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 46.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 15.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 44.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 139.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.3K |