Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC9347237923636
parapluie pour voiture pare-brise,pare-soleil pliable,foldable car windshield sunshade,windscreen sun shield uv (gros)
hero
3P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 63.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-96.7%
vs same 4w last year (239 units)
Current stock
878
≈ 82.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 45
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AUC9347237923636
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 279 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
parapluie pour voiture pare-brise,pare-soleil pliable,foldable car windshield sunshade,windscreen sun shield uv (gros) · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -63.6% · on-hand 878 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (826 days of history, 396 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.43 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 59.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 80.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 279.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.6K |