Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC9328265563674
Brosse de bain en Silicone - pk - WA586 - Exfoliant - Massage - Multicolore
hero
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 25.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 8
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AUC9328265563674
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 320 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Brosse de bain en Silicone - pk - WA586 - Exfoliant - Massage - Multicolore · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -25.0% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (609 days of history, 31 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.83 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 93.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 319.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.7K |