Demand Forecast

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LAV 6 pièces Zen + verre Tasse de café Set - style moderne Sqaure poignée thé - café Lunettes - Clair - 225ml
SKU · AUC8692952043901

LAV 6 pièces Zen + verre Tasse de café Set - style moderne Sqaure poignée thé - café Lunettes - Clair - 225ml

longtail 1P SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-75.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)

Current stock

28
≈ 43.7 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 59
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AUC8692952043901

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 57 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

LAV 6 pièces Zen + verre Tasse de café Set - style moderne Sqaure poignée thé - café Lunettes - Clair - 225ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 28 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (966 days of history, 36 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months14.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)17.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)56.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.4K