Demand Forecast
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SKU · AUC8681153041021
Moule à cake rond en silicone 23cm MYS SILICONE
longtail
3P
USTENSILES PATISSERIE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 15
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-17
AUC8681153041021
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 52 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Moule à cake rond en silicone 23cm MYS SILICONE · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1134 days of history, 21 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.62 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 15.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 3.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 51.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 780 |