Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC8436582992549
Glacière portable - Polarbox - Rétro Vintage - Jaune - 20 litres - Couvercle convertible en table
longtail
1P
BAGAGERIE AUTO-MOTO
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
12
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
12
≈ 26.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 257
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AUC8436582992549
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 63 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Glacière portable - Polarbox - Rétro Vintage - Jaune - 20 litres - Couvercle convertible en table · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +75.0% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (448 days of history, 14 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.68 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 29.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.1K |