Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC7897042012312
Skala Curling Treatment Cream - Skala Curls - 1kg
midtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 72.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-94.0%
vs same 4w last year (50 units)
Current stock
28
≈ 5.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 110
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AUC7897042012312
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 231 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Skala Curling Treatment Cream - Skala Curls - 1kg · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -72.7% · on-hand 28 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1127 days of history, 155 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.01 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 45.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 54.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 230.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.4K |