Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC7702018024759
Gillette 4 Pièces Venus 2 Simplement, Rasoir
longtail
1P
RASAGE - EPILATION
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
79
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
8
≈ 20.8 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 24
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AUC7702018024759
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 46 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Gillette 4 Pièces Venus 2 Simplement, Rasoir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1155 days of history, 18 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.43 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 11.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 46.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.1K |