Demand Forecast

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The ordinary Peeling Solution exfoliant visage 10 minutes AHA Ordinaire 30% + BHA 2% 30ml sérum pour le visage Enlever L'acné
SKU · AUC7642683216113

The ordinary Peeling Solution exfoliant visage 10 minutes AHA Ordinaire 30% + BHA 2% 30ml sérum pour le visage Enlever L'acné

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)

Current stock

3
≈ 3.4 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 189
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-28

AUC7642683216113

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

The ordinary Peeling Solution exfoliant visage 10 minutes AHA Ordinaire 30% + BHA 2% 30ml sérum pour le visage Enlever L'acné · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 3 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (700 days of history, 56 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months21.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)18.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)60.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 11.4K