Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Lotion Solaire - Daylong - Extreme - SPF 50+ - 50 ml - Résistante à l'eau
SKU · AUC7612076448254

Lotion Solaire - Daylong - Extreme - SPF 50+ - 50 ml - Résistante à l'eau

longtail 3P SOLAIRES
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Offer Stock

601
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 136
avg of last 14 sells · latest 2026-07-13

AUC7612076448254

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 44 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Lotion Solaire - Daylong - Extreme - SPF 50+ - 50 ml - Résistante à l'eau · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 648 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1078 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.36 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks6.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months21.6 units
Optimistic — next week2.4 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)10.9 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)43.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.0K