Demand Forecast

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Caméra Surveillance WiFi - TP-Link Tapo C200 - 1080P avec 360° PTZ - Vision Nocturne Détection de Mouvement - pour bébé ou animaux
SKU · AUC6935364088095

Caméra Surveillance WiFi - TP-Link Tapo C200 - 1080P avec 360° PTZ - Vision Nocturne Détection de Mouvement - pour bébé ou animaux

longtail 3P SECURITE MAISON
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

6
▼ 73.9% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+100.0%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)

Current stock

28
≈ 14.0 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 256
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AUC6935364088095

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 80 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Caméra Surveillance WiFi - TP-Link Tapo C200 - 1080P avec 360° PTZ - Vision Nocturne Détection de Mouvement - pour bébé ou animaux · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -73.9% · on-hand 28 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1099 days of history, 140 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 23 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months29.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week8.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)30.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)80.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 20.5K