Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC6928073712665
Colle forte de 3g - HSGU3122 - INGCO
longtail
3P
QUINCAILLERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 83.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
1,237
≈ 907.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 2
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29
AUC6928073712665
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 125 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Colle forte de 3g - HSGU3122 - INGCO · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -83.3% · on-hand 1237 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1148 days of history, 97 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 29.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 124.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 299 |