Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC6431223595679
Brosse Lissante Chauffante Ionique, sèche-cheveux en une étape 3 en 1 pour salon Ion négatif Lisseur à cheveux et peigne
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
16
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 98
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-09
AUC6431223595679
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 150 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Brosse Lissante Chauffante Ionique, sèche-cheveux en une étape 3 en 1 pour salon Ion négatif Lisseur à cheveux et peigne · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 16 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (994 days of history, 9 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 63.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 21.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 150.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.7K |