Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC6379251801075
12 Pièces Rasoir à Sourcils Shaper Shavers Rasoirs pour les Femmes et les Hommes Dissolvants pour le Visage
longtail
3P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+200.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
968
≈ 663.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 13
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AUC6379251801075
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 59 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
12 Pièces Rasoir à Sourcils Shaper Shavers Rasoirs pour les Femmes et les Hommes Dissolvants pour le Visage · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 968 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (497 days of history, 92 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.92 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 14.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 59.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 784 |