Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC6001067022558
COLGATE - Brosse à dents - Extra Clean
longtail
1P + 3P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
145
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
88
≈ 152.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 4
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AUC6001067022558
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 103 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
COLGATE - Brosse à dents - Extra Clean · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 88 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1239 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.70 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 29.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 1.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 10.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 103.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 446 |