Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC5999076227426
Créatine BioTech USA - 100% Creatine Monohydrate - Saveur neutre 300g
midtail
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 78.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-50.0%
vs same 4w last year (16 units)
Current stock
23
≈ 4.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 296
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AUC5999076227426
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 266 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Créatine BioTech USA - 100% Creatine Monohydrate - Saveur neutre 300g · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -78.4% · on-hand 23 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (945 days of history, 424 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.93 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 37 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 36.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 101.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 24.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 98.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 265.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 78.5K |