Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC5999076227419
BIOTECHUSA - 100% monohydrate de créatine - Sans saveur 500 g
hero
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
27
≈ stable (3.8% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 333
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AUC5999076227419
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 288 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
BIOTECHUSA - 100% monohydrate de créatine - Sans saveur 500 g · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 27 units, stable demand · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (476 days of history, 594 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.92 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 27 units · prev 4w = 26 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 9.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 38.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 158.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 69.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 287.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 95.8K |