Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC5999076227419
BIOTECHUSA - 100% monohydrate de créatine - Sans saveur 500 g
hero
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
30
▼ 6.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+500.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
28
≈ 3.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 333
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AUC5999076227419
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 255 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
BIOTECHUSA - 100% monohydrate de créatine - Sans saveur 500 g · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 30 units, trending down -6.2% · on-hand 28 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (420 days of history, 557 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.92 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 30 units · prev 4w = 32 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 19.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 61.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 13.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 82.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 254.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 84.9K |