Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AUC5999076227419
BIOTECHUSA - 100% monohydrate de créatine - Sans saveur 500 g
hero
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
19
▼ 24.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 357
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AUC5999076227419
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 517 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
BIOTECHUSA - 100% monohydrate de créatine - Sans saveur 500 g · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending down -24.0% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (539 days of history, 645 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.93 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 25 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 153.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 19.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 75.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 517.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 184.8K |